Iām a big fan of common sense, but Iām a little suspicious of conventional wisdom, especially when it appears to be a knee-jerk reaction. For instance, even though visions of red-eyed robots and other forms of artificial intelligence (AI) conquering and eliminating Western Civilization are presented, retold and parodied across every avenue of popular culture, I donāt see those fictions migrating to reality anytime soon.Ā Ā
Of course, artificial humanoids have been with us since long before the "Terminator" movie franchise. They include the old Jewish legend of the Golem, Mary Shelleyās "Frankenstein," the robotic lady in Fritz Langās silent movie "Metropolis," the Tin Man in "The Wizard of Oz," Robby the Robot in "Forbidden Planet," and all the other sci-fi automatons, simulacrums and androids before and since. Two of the latest are the Terminator-style Ultron and the unfortunately blue-eyed Vision in last yearās "Avengers" movie sequel.
What all these great characters share is that theyāre not artificial or alien at all, but are simply reflections of their human creators, readers and viewers. Theyāre just another effort by us to understand what we are, and what it means to be a person in the world. Hardly a new question, but maybe a new twist on asking it.
Naturally, there are now multiplying numbers of real-world, AI-aided robots in industry, healthcare, entertainment and other mainstream venues, and many people including some intelligent ones are worried this situation could get out of control. In their famous Independent article, Stephen Hawking and his co-authors said, āSuccess in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history.Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks.āĀ
Controlās legendary columnist, BĆ©la LiptĆ”k, PE, piled on with, āIs artificial intelligence dangerous?ā and reported that AI will need to āshare human valuesā and be āsage and sapient.āĀ I donāt know about you, but I hope AI and super-smart robots can do better than human values. As theyāre applied and misapplied, those values havenāt been doing too well lately. Ā
So who am I to be confident that robots and AI wonāt replace humans soon? Well, by myself, Iām nobody in particular, but I do try to find and quote people who know what theyāre talking about. For example, Rob High, vice president and CTO of IBM Watson Solutions, reported how AI may evolve as part of his keynote address on cognitive computing during the recent ARC Industry Forum in Orlando.
āThereās a lot of press that cognitive computing will replace human minds, but what weāre interested in is using it to amplify human minds and cognition,ā says High. āCognitive computing doesnāt think for you. It does the research, so you can think better. It frees peopleās minds for other capabilities. Iām not worried that weāre going to lose our intellectual spirit. Weāre driven to occupy or minds, and I donāt think thatās going to go away.ā
As for me, I also rely on precedent, history and parallel situations. These remind me that huge technical and societal shifts are never all one way or the other. TV didnāt replace movies and radio. Computers didnāt replace books and paper. They all go along together.
Admittedly, AI and robots are gaining new capabilities all the time. Just look at the progress of the Atlas robotsĀ from Boston Dynamics. Sure, theyāre spookily impressive. Still, Iām not going to worry until they successfully babysit a bunch of toddlers and change their diapers, which is a job Iād welcome help with anyway.
Image courtesy of cooldesign at FreeDigitalPhotos.net
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