Iâm a big fan of common sense, but Iâm a little suspicious of conventional wisdom, especially when it appears to be a knee-jerk reaction. For instance, even though visions of red-eyed robots and other forms of artificial intelligence (AI) conquering and eliminating Western Civilization are presented, retold and parodied across every avenue of popular culture, I donât see those fictions migrating to reality anytime soon. Â
Of course, artificial humanoids have been with us since long before the "Terminator" movie franchise. They include the old Jewish legend of the Golem, Mary Shelleyâs "Frankenstein," the robotic lady in Fritz Langâs silent movie "Metropolis," the Tin Man in "The Wizard of Oz," Robby the Robot in "Forbidden Planet," and all the other sci-fi automatons, simulacrums and androids before and since. Two of the latest are the Terminator-style Ultron and the unfortunately blue-eyed Vision in last yearâs "Avengers" movie sequel.
What all these great characters share is that theyâre not artificial or alien at all, but are simply reflections of their human creators, readers and viewers. Theyâre just another effort by us to understand what we are, and what it means to be a person in the world. Hardly a new question, but maybe a new twist on asking it.
Naturally, there are now multiplying numbers of real-world, AI-aided robots in industry, healthcare, entertainment and other mainstream venues, and many people including some intelligent ones are worried this situation could get out of control. In their famous Independent article, Stephen Hawking and his co-authors said, âSuccess in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history.Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks.âÂ
Controlâs legendary columnist, BĂŠla LiptĂĄk, PE, piled on with, âIs artificial intelligence dangerous?â and reported that AI will need to âshare human valuesâ and be âsage and sapient.â I donât know about you, but I hope AI and super-smart robots can do better than human values. As theyâre applied and misapplied, those values havenât been doing too well lately. Â
So who am I to be confident that robots and AI wonât replace humans soon? Well, by myself, Iâm nobody in particular, but I do try to find and quote people who know what theyâre talking about. For example, Rob High, vice president and CTO of IBM Watson Solutions, reported how AI may evolve as part of his keynote address on cognitive computing during the recent ARC Industry Forum in Orlando.
âThereâs a lot of press that cognitive computing will replace human minds, but what weâre interested in is using it to amplify human minds and cognition,â says High. âCognitive computing doesnât think for you. It does the research, so you can think better. It frees peopleâs minds for other capabilities. Iâm not worried that weâre going to lose our intellectual spirit. Weâre driven to occupy or minds, and I donât think thatâs going to go away.â
As for me, I also rely on precedent, history and parallel situations. These remind me that huge technical and societal shifts are never all one way or the other. TV didnât replace movies and radio. Computers didnât replace books and paper. They all go along together.
Admittedly, AI and robots are gaining new capabilities all the time. Just look at the progress of the Atlas robots from Boston Dynamics. Sure, theyâre spookily impressive. Still, Iâm not going to worry until they successfully babysit a bunch of toddlers and change their diapers, which is a job Iâd welcome help with anyway.
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